Updated with the Angels losing their pick at #22 (Josh Hamilton signing), the Braves losing #27 (B.J. Upton), and the Nationals losing their pick for the Rafael Soriano signing. Not much to update here as it’s still incredibly far away from the draft, and new developments are few and far between this time of year.
1. Astros: Ryne Stanek, RHP (ASU) – Curious if an overachieving college bat could sneak in here (for the purposes of being below-slot – Moran?). Command, consistent mid 90s velocity, ridiculous slider, and solid third offering.
2. Cubs: Clint Frazier, OF (Georgia HS) – Frazier is a quality defender, valuable baserunner, and is arguably the best all-around bat (power and hit tool combined) out of all high school hitters (maybe all hitters in this class even).
3. Rockies: Sean Manaea, LHP (Indiana State) – Easily one of the top 2 arms available. Raw, more risk, but excellent stuff.
4. Twins: Dominic Smith, 1st/OF (California HS) – Advanced for a prep bat. Excellent defense as well. Not tons of power. Probable that at least a few teams will rank him above Meadows.
5. Indians: Colin Moran, 3rd (North Carolina) – Best pure college bat. Sounds as if he will be at least an average defender at third. Should eventually settle into solid power production.
6. Marlins: Austin Meadows, OF (Georgia HS) – As far as tools go, one of the very best bats in the draft. Great power, defense, and speed.
7. Red Sox: Reese McGuire, C (Washington HS) – Fantastic defensive value, and above-average offensively for the position. Value (still?) on the way up. Could argue for him as the 2nd best prep bat, if you can project him to stick at catcher.
8. Royals: Trey Ball, OF/LHP (Indiana HS) – Seems as if he will end up on the mound, but the jury is definitely still out on that one.
9. Pirates: Jonathon Crawford, RHP (Florida) – Excellent stuff, should go much higher if he can be just slightly more consistent.
10. Blue Jays: JP Crawford, SS (California HS) - As far as the infielders in this class go, he is one of the best all-around talents. Neck-and-neck with Mercado, lagging slightly behind in defensive value.
11. Mets: Kris Bryant, INF (San Diego) – Patience and power, with the arm to stick at third. A transition to RF could be in his future.
12. Mariners: Mark Appel, RHP (Stanford) – The stuff and frame are there. Concerns still remain about a lack of deception in his delivery.
13. Padres: Robert Kaminsky, LHP (New Jersey HS) – Very polished for a prep pitcher, with great velocity for a lefty. I like him more than the two big California prep lefties.
14. Pirates: Ryan Boldt, OF (Minnesota HS) – Toolsy, more projection on him that other prep bats even.
15. Diamondbacks: Kohl Stewart, RHP (Texas HS) – Excellent raw stuff. Has to continue to impress to stay above a number of other prep arms.
16. Phillies: Karsten Whitson, RHP (Florida) – Following a down year, but could easily fly up the charts. Excellent stuff is still there.
17. Brewers: Oscar Mercado, SS (Florida HS) – Excellent defender. Bat is underrated as people are quick to label him as a glove-first SS.
18. White Sox: Phillip Ervin, OF (Samford) – Consistent hitter on the Cape this year, and at Samford throughout his sophomore year. Solid power production for a center fielder that should be a big value in the field.
19. Dodgers: Austin Wilson, OF (Stanford) – The tools are certainly there, just not the production. Will have to fall flat on his face to drop out of the first round, but very well may end up in the latter half.
20. Cardinals: Aaron Judge, OF (Fresno State) – So much raw power (plus plus). Definitely has a long swing, but bat speed is still solid. Quietly could probably be an above-average value defensively in RF.
21. Tigers: Jordan Sheffield, RHP (Tennessee HS) – Stock rose a lot this summer. Big velocity.
22. Rays: DJ Peterson, INF (New Mexico) – Lots of polish, and a very high floor in terms of his power and hit tools. Just need to figure out what position he’ll play.
23. Orioles: Stephen Gonsalves, LHP (California HS) – One of the top 3 prep lefties in this class.
24. Rangers: Jon Denney, C (Oklahoma HS) – Inconsistent defender, but great when he’s going right. Bat can play up at most any position.
25. Athletics: Michael Lorenzen, OF (Cal State Fullerton) – Raw and toolsy, could fall back on his arm strength if career as an OF doesn’t work. Excellent in center, has to answer questions about hit tool.
26. Giants: Marco Gonzales, LHP (Gonzaga) – Fantastic change up and solid velocity will look really good if he can solidify a good breaking offering.
27. Yankees: Justin Williams, OF (Louisiana HS): Could have plus hit tool (because of his bat speed) and plus plus (plus?) power (because of his bat speed) in time.
28. Reds: Chris Rivera, SS/C (California HS) – Could challenge Mercado and Crawford at shortstop. Fantastic glove, surprising bat at times.
30. Rays: Bobby Wahl, RHP (Ole Miss) – Has gotten results thus far, and another year of the same will solidify a top 15 slot.
31. Rangers: Andrew Mitchell, RHP (TCU) – Big strikeout stuff, with a big strikeout rate in 2012. Still has a lot to prove he isn’t ticketed for the bullpen (namely that he actually has a third pitch).
31. Yankees: Jason Hursh, RHP (Oklahoma State): Finally showing some modicum of health, he’s registering triple digits on the radar gun. As a starter. Yes, please.