2014 MLB Draft: All-America Game Quick Top 10

08/24/2013

Well, pitching definitely stood out in this year’s event. Really the presence of quality left-handed pitching was the most surprising thing, albeit in inconsistent doses. The performances of right-handed starters not named Toussaint were also notable, as we know after a long summer showcase circuit that guys like Tyler Kolek are right there with (if not past) the popular pitcher.

There are a few standout hitters in the 2014 prep class (namely Gatewood, Jackson, and Gordon), but they didn’t really shine this Saturday, and no one else did much to improve their stock either. A more complete report (in one or two posts) will be coming up soon. For now, here’s a quick Top 10 of who Matt and I saw:

  1. Michael Kopech, RHP (Texas HS): The righty had strong velocity (low-to-mid 90s on Wrigley’s radar), and a quality breaking ball that generated a number of swinging strikes with its tight rotation. Aside from Toussaint, he had the best fastball/breaking ball combination in Saturday’s action. 
  2. Tyler Kolek, RHP (Texas HS): He dominated in his inning of action with a fastball that sat regularly from 95 to 97 (occasionally touching 99 MPH) with late movement. His delivery looked fairly relaxed, as if he wasn’t working terribly hard to generate that kind of velocity (which makes some sense when you take his build into account at 6’5″, 250 lbs).
  3. Alex Verdugo, LHP/OF (Arizona HS): Flashed plus stuff on the mound, and a short, compact stroke at the plate. I’m not sure there is anyone who can top him for overall two-way talent. While Verdugo’s velocity was strong, it was his slider that really stood out (at 79 MPH) with a lot of bite and drop to it. He only had one at-bat to show what he could do, and Verdugo made it count with a liner into the opposite-field gap.
  4. Jacob Gatewood, 3rd/OF (California HS): A little inconsistent at the plate, as he was overly aggressive at times with some big whiffs at the plate. Gatewood had a quality 6 or 7 pitch at-bat that ended in a ringing double that hit off of the outfield wall. It’s a small sample size obviously, but he’s still plenty raw.
  5. Michael Gettys, OF (Georgia HS): He might not have made the HR Derby final, but the outfielder had one of the best showings on Saturday with big power generated by a short swing and excellent bat speed. Gettys struggled to produce during the actual game, though the same the bat speed and compact swing were still on display.
  6. David Peterson, LHP (Colorado HS): The lefty threw both a low 90s fastball and mid 70s curve that kept hitters off balance during his appearance with a very clean and easy delivery. Peterson showed solid command and mixed in his offspeed stuff often. His curve was particularly impressive as it had consistently tight rotation while also keeping the pitch in and around the zone.
  7. Nick Gordon, INF (Florida HS): Gordon was one of the most balanced hitters Saturday, reaching base three times (three hits, two left the infield) while also stealing three bases. Alex Jackson and Jacob Gatewood have been ranked above him fairly consistently, but Gordon was able to show why he’s right there with them.
  8. Dylan Cease, RHP (Georgia HS): The righty had some of the best velocity of any pitcher, consistently touching 95 on the gun. His offspeed stuff didn’t do much, which may not matter much at the moment.
  9. William Ramos, LHP (Connecticut HS): While Ramos was pretty wild overall, he featured quality velocity and a very impressive slider for a lefty. He started the inning off well, and seemed to be off balance after taking a liner off his ankle against the 2nd hitter Ramos faced. Aside from a funky leg kick (which seems to only add deception), his delivery is clean and looks as if he is fairly balanced on the mound all the way through to the plate.
  10. Touki Toussaint, RHP (Florida HS): Though he underwhelmed a bit, a somewhat off showing at Wrigley won’t hurt his stock. Toussaint’s velocity was certainly strong as he sat in the mid 90s with his fastball, and he did have a few decent curveball’s, but his command of the latter pitch was spotty at best.

2013 MLB Draft Grades: Chicago Cubs

06/17/2013

Up until June 5th, the dominant opinion was that the Cubs would be (somewhat) drafting by need as opposed to going for the best player available. As such, their system, somewhat light on pitching would probably need one of Gray or Appel. The Cubs ended up drafting the best player available in Bryant, who has the ability to be an impact bat, while still having a fairly high floor. As for the need for pitching, 6 of the next 7 Cubs’ picks ended up being pitchers. College pitchers, no less. In a draft with a fairly weak college class, it’s a bit of a surprise but many of the selections are high-upside selections (though they do have some signability questions).

Round 1 (2nd overall): Kris Bryant, 3rd/RF (San Diego) – The Toreros infielder has always had more than enough power, going all the way back to the 2010 Draft, when his power rivaled 1st overall pick Bryce Harper. Fast forward three years, and you could argue he might just match him for power potential yet again. Since then his hit tool has improved quite a bit as well, losing a lot of extra length in his swing, and closing up a lot of holes in it as well. Bryant may not hit for great average once he reaches the majors, but he shouldn’t have any massive issues making contact either after making big improvements this year. He’s athletic enough to be above-average in the outfield though I would imagine the Cubs would like him to stick at third if possible.

Round 2 (41st overall): Rob Zastryzny, LHP (Missouri) – Mizzou’s Friday night starter didn’t post the most gaudy of numbers in 2013 with a 4.51 FIP (or 2012 for that matter) in spite of a quality fastball and strong command. His secondary stuff is a lot less developed than his fastball, although his change-up has showed nice fade, playing off his ability to change speeds well. Even so, he has never posted great strikeout rates, and his lack of a true out pitch may limit his upside. One addendum to that though is that he has shown strong ground-ball tendencies, a particular skill set that is a overlooked at times.

Round 3 (75th overall): Jacob Hannemann, OF (BYU) – The rare draft eligible freshman. Hannemann has the intriguing combo of pure hitting skills, power, and athleticism fit for the defensive requirements of center field. He does seem like a roll of the dice for the third round (and for being behind on the age curve at 22), but at the very least he does have strong offensive upside for an up-the-middle player. The biggest question mark is likely to be his ability to adapt to pro pitching, and if he will make enough contact to be relevant in the long run.

Round 4 (108th overall): Tyler Skulina, RHP (Kent State) – At one point this year, it wasn’t totally unthinkable that Skulina could be a 1st rounder. With a live fastball that touches the mid 90s and a hard slider, his stuff can be good enough to take over a game. The emphasis is on can. Skulina has battled inconsistency throughout 2013, which has led to some pretty poor outings. That being said, a 3.55 FIP  through 93 IP with 102 K (against 34 walks and 74 hits) is pretty impressive for a 4th round selection. Just imagine if someone actually gets him to really command that two-pitch mix.

Round 5 (138th overall): Trey Masek, RHP (Texas Tech) – Well, if his shoulder (specifically rotator cuff) is healthy and structurally sound, then this is a great pick. If not, then at least those savings get are still usable for another pick in the bonus pool. Masek was one of the most dominant pitchers in Division I earlier this year, showing off a live low-to-mid 90s heater and a sharp curve. His delivery has been inconsistent throughout his college career, which may or may not be the reason for his health issues. He doesn’t have the prototypical starters build at just over 6′ tall and around 200 lbs., but history has seen many similar pitchers have great success.

Round 6 (168th overall): Scott Frazier, RHP (Pepperdine) – The stuff has always been there for Frazier, and it showed up quite a bit this past summer, making some think he could easily wind up somewhere in the first round. Unfortunately for Frazier the stuff continued to show up (occasionally) this spring, but he never could put together any really dominant outings. His 3.60 FIP through 88 innings (83 K, 44 BB, 75 H) was certainly solid though. Frazier underwhelmed in 2013, but could still turn out to be a nice buy-low in the 6th round if the Cubs can sharpen up his mechanics.

Round 7 (198th overall): David Garner, RHP (Michigan State) – Apparently the Cubs decided to start alternating big and then small college arms with picks 4-7. Just like the above three arms though, this righty touches the mid 90s with his fastball and has a strong breaking ball (when he’s on). He should get a shot to start as a pro, but with a lack of a solid third pitch his fastball and slider are better served out of the bullpen.

Round 8 (228th overall): Sam Wilson, LHP (Lamar C.C.) – At the start of spring, Wilson was one of the better JUCO prospects available as he showed above-average velocity for a lefty. The lefty struggled to really stand out though with a lack of a decent secondary offering. He was inconsistent this spring, and as such his stock fell with no improvements to speak of for the Colorado hurler. Without a good breaking ball, he’ll need more consistent velocity as a pro.

Round 9 (258th overall): Charcer Burks, OF (Texas HS) – A largely un-scouted outfielder, Burks has some interesting upside with the bat for a center fielder. The Texan is still incredibly raw, even for a high school prospect, and has not shown stand-out tools with any measure of consistency.

Round 10 (288th overall): Zach Godley, RHP (Tennessee) – After the Cubs selected a number of higher-upside college arms, they went with an innings-eater in this righty. He posted a 3.81 FIP in 108 IP with strong peripheral stats (98 K, 32 BB) in 2013. Both his curve and change have showed potential working off of a high 80s to low 90s fastball, and might do well under pro coaching.

Grade: B+

The Cubs went pitching-heavy in the top 10 rounds, and only jumped out of the college ranks once. I don’t know if guys like Masek and Frazier will sign for 5th and 6th round money, but if they do, both will be cheap signings considering their potential. Looking at some of their other picks through the first 10 rounds, they might just have the savings to go over slot if need be.

2013 MLB Draft Grades: Houston Astros

06/12/2013

For those waiting on the edge of their respective seats, try not to get too excited – one or two Draft Grades posts should be coming along every week now that the draft is over. For now I will be running through the Top 10 rounds in each post.

Round 1 (1st): Mark Appel, RHP (Stanford): The concern that Appel didn’t strikeout enough hitters quickly went by the wayside as spring progressed. Appel continued to show the same polish, velocity, and breaking stuff that he did last year, but with greatly improved strikeout numbers in 2013. His slider has continued to improve, and he may not need much more from his change-up considering how good his first two offerings are now. With another year of seasoning at Stanford under his belt, he should be able to move quickly through the Astros system.

Round 2 (40th): Andrew Thurman, RHP (UC Irvine): Throughout most of this year, Thurman had quietly and consistently gained draft helium as June drew closer. In a college class that really lacked blue chip talent. Thurman’s all-around polish and flashes of plus stuff on the mound began to stand out quite a bit. As long as the righty’s velocity spike from this year holds, he should be able to hold his own with a plus change-up until he moves higher in the minors. He has been able to miss bats at a good rate in Division I ball, but will need to develop a good breaking ball sooner rather than later. Thurman was able to consistently stay around the zone in 2013, posting one of the better K/BB rates in Division I, en route to a quality 3.17 FIP.

Round 3 (74th): Kent Emanuel, LHP (North Carolina): While the lefty is a quality pitcher, don’t read too much into his 2.36 ERA this year. Emanuel certainly has value with his fastball command, plus change-up, and deception, but his so-so breaking stuff likely limits his overall upside. Nonetheless, the Tarheels ace should be a valuable back of the rotation anchor as a pro with his change-up and ability to throw strikes.

Round 4 (107th): Conrad Gregor, 1B (Vanderbilt): Many have been expecting a breakout season for quite a while, but it still has yet to come. Gregor has a decent looking swing, and has always shown a strong approach at the plate throughout his time at Vandy. After a strong season in the Cape Cod league this past summer, with more in-game power on display, I think more were ready for his breakout season. The junior’s plate discipline continued to improve, but the power just still has not shown up in games for Gregor. He’ll need to show more (even a more quality doubles stroke) to earn a regular starting spot at a corner position.

Round 5 (137th): Tony Kemp, 2B (Vanderbilt): If the Vandy infielder had at least average power (1 career HR at Vandy), or was a sure-fire second baseman, he would be a very different prospect. As it stands now, he still boasts an interesting skill set for an up the middle player. Aside an underwhelming sophomore season, he’s shown a strong hit tool and a solid approach at the plate, while also flashing plus speed. Kemp took another step forward this year with a .391/.471/.485 line, with more stolen bases than strikeouts (34:32). If he can stick at second base, he should be a nice value in the 5th round. If he is forced to shift to the outfield, he could be an above-average hitter in center, but would be a tweener in left.

Round 6 (167th): Jacob Nottingham, C (California HS): With power as his calling card and his chances to stick behind the plate in question, it remains to be seen what offer the potential Sooner will receive. I would think the Astros have to like his bat more than anything, and that it would survive a switch to 1st or left field. He’s so raw on both sides of the ball that he seems better served heading to Oklahoma.

Round 7 (197th): James Ramsay, OF (South Florida): As a center fielder, Ramsay’s hit tool, speed, and contact rates could make him a solid regular in time. There’s not really much of any power projection in his game, so he will need his strong approach and hit tool to carry him offensively. If the contact rates and approach don’t translate over to the pro game, it remains to be seen if he can even have 4th OF value.

Round 8 (227th): Jason Martin, OF (California HS): He has interesting upside with his makeup and overall value considered. Martin seems to get the most out of his tools, and might just turn out to be an above-average hitter in center if he continues to hit. While his tools are solid, it appears as if his pure skill set at the plate pushed him up to the 8th round.

Round 9 (257th): Brian Holberton, C/OF (North Carolina): He’s a raw prospect as far as catchers are concerned, but his bat profiles rather well behind the dish. Holberton showed off a patient approach and solid power in 2012 and 2013, spending his fair share of time in the outfield as well. This spring, he hit .309/.420/.494, with 41 walks against 28 strikeouts, and 13 2b and 13 HRs. Athleticism considered, he could turn out to be an interesting utility bat if starts taking any reps in the infield.

Round 10 (287th): Austin Nicely, LHP (Virginia HS): The lefty doesn’t appear to be a likely sign, but he would be a nice pickup for the Astros in the 10th. While Nicely has yet to show anything big in terms of velocity or stuff, he makes up for that in projection (with plenty of room to grow/add velocity) and much cleaner than average delivery for a prep arm. He could likely benefit from spending three years in the Virginia program.

Grade: B

Grabbing Appel at #1 makes plenty of sense, and avoids the risk of a Jonathan Gray or a below-slot sign like Moran. Thurman should be a nice value in the 2nd round, as should Kemp in the 5th with his bat at a premium defensive position. Guys like Emanuel and Holberton may have limited upside, but they could very well provide quality back of the rotation/utility value in the near future.

2014 MLB Draft: Top 30 Prospects

06/09/2013

To help deal with Draft withdrawal, I’ve put together a quick Top 30 list for the 2014 MLB Draft. There are some elite starting pitchers coming out of the college ranks, and the prep side boasts some strong offensive contributors up the middle of the field. The high school side also has at least two or three big arms that could go early next year, though it’s a bit hard to nail down prep pitching this early (think Clinton Hollon projections last summer). The rest of the Top 30 follow after the break.

  1. Carlos Rodon, LHP (NC State): You could have make an argument for Rodon going 1:1 this year. His stuff, K rate, polish, and mechanics all point to him being a strong 1 or 2 starter.
  2. Trea Turner, SS (NC State): Strong hit tool and approach with plus speed up the middle, all of which make up for just around solid power potential.
  3. Alex Jackson, INF/C (California HS): The most complete high school player available. It seems likely that teams would prefer him at third once he goes pro, even though he’s quite good behind the plate.
  4. Tyler Beede, RHP (Vanderbilt): Live fastball and a strong breaking ball, but needs to improve his walk rate. Has clean mechanics and already has the build for pro ball.
  5. Michael Cederoth, RHP (San Diego State): Currently sits from 92-98, although he’s been clocked at 100 on his fastball in 2013. Both his slider and curve have shown flashes of being plus.
  6. Aaron Nola, RHP (LSU): The righty was sitting in the low-to-mid 90s consistently in 2013, holding his velocity late into games. He controls his fastball well, only allowing 17 walks in 109 IP.
  7. Touki Toussaint, RHP (Florida HS): One of the hardest throwers in this high school class, with a plus curve to boot.
  8. Nick Gordon, SS (Florida HS): Right there with Jackson for all-around value, though he could be the better defender of the two.
  9. Nick Burdi, RHP (Louisville): As a reliever he consistently touches 100+ mph. His slider is equally ridiculous as it maxes out in the low 90s. He also showed improved command in 2013. It would be fun to watch Burdi as a starter next year.
  10. Kyle Schwarber, C/1B (Indiana): One of the best wOBA’s (#13) in all of Division I at .479. The sophomore already has a strong approach and power stroke (17 HRs). Not entirely sure he sticks at catcher, though. Read More

2013 MLB Mock Draft, Final…Draft

06/06/2013

Really only this version, and the very last were even close to accurate. And even then, attempting to draft all that precise of a projection for this June’s first round can be a waste of time. Either way, getting a rough idea of who will be going off the board with the first 40 or so picks is doable. The order of them, not so much.

Even though this year’s college class is weak, we could very well see the first three picks come from the collegiate ranks. Some mix of Gray, Appel, Bryant, and/or Moran is sounding likely, although I find it hard to believe all three teams will pass on the bat of Clint Frazier. After that though, things are a whole lot less certain, except for the fact that there should definitely be more high school bats coming off the board in the first round the rest of the way.

First Round

# Team Pick
1   Astros Jonathan Gray, RHP (Oklahoma)
2   Cubs Kris Bryant, INF (San Diego)
3   Rockies Mark Appel, RHP (Stanford)
4   Twins Kohl Stewart, RHP (Texas HS)
5   Indians Clint Frazier, OF (Georgia HS)
6   Marlins Colin Moran, 3rd (North Carolina)
7   Red Sox Austin Meadows, OF (Georgia HS)
8   Royals Braden Shipley, RHP (Nevada)
9   Pirates Reese McGuire, C (Washington HS)
10   Blue Jays JP Crawford, SS (California HS)
11   Mets Hunter Renfroe, OF (Mississippi State)
12   Mariners Phil Bickford, RHP (California HS)
13   Padres Trey Ball, OF/LHP (Indiana HS)
14   Pirates DJ Peterson, INF (New Mexico)
15   Diamondbacks Dominic Smith, 1st/OF (California HS)
16   Phillies Ryne Stanek, RHP (ASU)
17   White Sox Alex Gonzalez, RHP (Oral Roberts)
18   Dodgers Ian Clarkin, LHP (California HS)
19   Cardinals Hunter Dozier, INF (Stephen F. Austin)
20   Tigers Sean Manaea, LHP (Indiana State )
21   Rays Tim Anderson, SS (East Central CC)
22   Orioles Jon Denney, C (Oklahoma HS)
23   Rangers Robert Kaminsky, LHP (New Jersey HS)
24   Athletics Phillip Ervin, OF (Samford)
25   Giants Matt Krook, LHP (California HS)
26   Yankees Hunter Harvey, RHP (North Carolina HS)
27   Reds Nick Ciuffo, C (South Carolina HS)

Comp Round A

# Team Pick
28   Cardinals Austin Wilson, OF (Stanford)
29   Rays Bill McKinney, OF (Texas HS)
30   Rangers Travis Demeritte, 3B (Georgia HS)
31   Braves Marco Gonzales, LHP (Gonzaga)
32   Yankees Jonathon Crawford, RHP (Florida)
33   Yankees Eric Jagielo, 1B (Notre Dame)

Competitive Balance Round A

# Team Pick
34   Royals Aaron Blair, RHP (Marshall)
35   Marlins Jason Hursh, RHP (Oklahoma State)
36   Diamondbacks Aaron Judge, OF (Fresno State)
37   Orioles Chad Pinder, 3B (Virginia Tech)
38   Reds Hunter Green, LHP (Kentucky HS)
39   Tigers Andrew Mitchell, RHP (TCU)

Who is the next best college bat after Kris Bryant?

05/17/2013

At the start of this year, it looked like the best college bat (that being the best all-around run producer) would either be Kris Bryant or DJ Peterson. There were (and are) some concerns about Bryant’s ability to hit for average as a pro, and there were questions about Peterson’s true power potential (for a guy definitely limited to 1st base). North Carolina’s Colin Moran and Stanford’s Austin Wilson were also right in the middle of that conversation.

Fast forward a few quick months, and things haven’t really changed all that much. Kris Bryant has established himself as the best all-around bat with the same skill set that scouts saw last year (just improved with another year of experience). With a great walk rate and plus plus power, he likely has more offensive upside than any other college bat this year. Although that’s not to say his floor isn’t decently high as well.

It’s a bit less clear who the next-best college bat is though. DJ Peterson is hitting a ton again this year for New Mexico, but some have voiced legitimate concern that his home park significantly boosts his offensive numbers. Even still, if you look at his Park and Schedule adjusted numbers on College Splits, Peterson’s numbers are still well above-average. Most seem sold on his power with his ability to make consistent contact or hit for average being a lot less certain.

Before this season Colin Moran was considered the best pure hitter in the draft, and nothing has changed. His ability to barrel up balls and make consistent contact is a big value, even if his power potential is in question (for a corner infielder). With his elite contact rate, and strong pitch recognition he could be a Bill Buckner/Mark Grace type first baseman if he’s forced to move across the diamond.

Austin Wilson has been, and continues to be more about potential and tools than actual performance. With such strong tools, he stands out in a class that lacks elite, middle of the order bats (with above-average defensive value as well). It’s been an odd year for him, and while I’m not a huge fan, a team lower in the 1st, or even early in the 2nd round could get a great value pick with him.

One of the bats that has emerged this year (or at least stepped up to realize his potential) is Hunter Renfroe. The tools have always been there, but in an even more raw way than the aforementioned Wilson. He’s improved his approach by leaps and bounds this year, and with significantly higher contact rates, his power numbers have spiked. It remains to be seen if the adjustments will continue as he heads off to the professional game, but if they do he could very easily be the 2nd best all-around college bat this year. Especially when you consider his value on defense.

Speaking of defense, Samford’s Phil Ervin has always been lingering in the conversation for those who might go in the first round. He will ultimately have a hard time surpassing all of the other bats in this post on offensive achievements along. His lack of elite talent with the bat is bolstered by strong value on the bases and in the field. His skill set isn’t the same, but in some ways he reminds me of former Notre Dame outfielder AJ Pollock (now with Arizona) with very strong all-around value. Even so, he will need to hit more than most expect him to in order to be the 2nd best college bat in this class.

Last but not least is Hunter Dozier. Currently listed as a shortstop, it seems likely that a transition to third or second base is in his future if reports are accurate. Even so, he’s been right near the top of the Division I leaderboard in wOBA the past two years. His strong approach and surprising pop could make him and interesting up-the-middle bat as a pro. If he can manage to stick at 2nd base, Dozier’s power could quietly make him the next most valuable college bat to come out of this draft class.

2013 MLB Draft: Hitters Leaderboard 5/16

05/16/2013

Not a ton of change from last week to this week. The top college bats appear to be Bryant, Renfroe, Moran, Peterson, and Wilson. Going strictly by the numbers, and Hunter Dozier is right in the middle of that conversation, and has been throughout the year. It’s the second straight year he’s been near the top of the Division I leaderboard in wOBA. Outfielders Aaron Judge (Fresno State) and Michael O’Neill (Michigan) both have some very loud tools (power in the first case, power and speed in the second), and are both faring better as of late.

All in all, no one is really reversing any early season struggles (at least statistically-speaking). Of those with big offensive tools and/or skill sets, guys like Chad Pinder, Erich Weiss, and Jared King could still surprise later in the season, even though they have underwhelmed in 2013.

Potential First Rounders:

Hitter Line (AVG/ OBP/ SLG) wOBA
Kris Bryant, RF (San Diego) .346/ .506/ .880 .572
Hunter Dozier, SS (Stephen F. Austin) .398/ .493/ .770 .556
Hunter Renfroe, OF (Mississippi State) .390/ .484/ .750 .537
Colin Moran, 3B (North Carolina) .379/ .512/ .636 .520
DJ Peterson, INF (New Mexico) .408/ .522/ .832 .510
Mason Katz, INF (LSU) .380/ .472/ .656 .495
Eric Jagielo, 3B (Notre Dame) .385/ .502/ .633 .481
Aaron Judge, CF (Fresno State) .374/ .463/ .643 .481
Daniel Palka, 1B (Georgia Tech) .365/ .448/ .695 .479
Stuart Turner, C (Ole Miss) .389/ .460/ .562 .475
Phil Ervin, CF (Samford) .348/ .471/ .635 .472
Danny Collins, INF (Troy) .353/ .448 / .637 .461
Brandon Thomas, CF (Georgia Tech) .379/ .442/ .503 .453
Austin Wilson, OF (Stanford) .333/ .426/ .586 .444

Second rounders and beyond follow the break Read More

2013 MLB Draft: College Pitching Recap, May 10-12

05/13/2013

Notes: Well, we nearly saw a fun Jonathan Gray-Jason Hursh matchup on Friday. We at least Hursh was in top form, striking out 9 in 9 IP, allowing 1 FB out to 14 GB outs. Gray was just OK the next day against Oklahoma State. Gonzaga lefty Marco Gonzales and Missouri State’s Nick Petree both posted double digit strikeout totals yet again this past weekend. Both look to have pretty high floors heading towards June. Braden Shipley could definitely go in the first round, but he’s trying hard not to be with his past few outings. Though Jacksonville’s Chris Anderson had a nice rebound start against Lipscomb, his K rate continues to disappoint as of late. In the Rice-Memphis matchup, Sam Moll came out on top against Austin Kubitza. Both have been right there at the top of the Division I leaderboard.

Potential First Rounders

Pitcher Line Opponent
Mark Appel, RHP (Stanford)  5 IP, 6 H, 6 R, 5 BB, 4 K Oregon State
Jonathan Gray, RHP (Oklahoma)  5 IP, 6 H, 3 R, 3 BB, 8 K Oklahoma State
Ryne Stanek, RHP (Arkansas)  7 IP, 5 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 9 K Tennessee
Sean Manaea, LHP (Indiana State)  7 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 1 BB, 11 K Alcorn State
Marco Gonzales, LHP (Gonzaga)  9 IP, 6 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 10 K Appalachian State
Braden Shipley, RHP (Nevada)  5.2 IP, 7 H, 7 R, 4 BB, 6 K UNLV
Jason Hursh, RHP (Oklahoma State)  9 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 1 BB, 9 K Oklahoma
Chris Anderson, RHP (Jacksonville)  9 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 4 K Lipscomb
Kent Emanuel, LHP (North Carolina)  8 IP, 10 H, 5 R, 1 BB, 6 K Georgia Tech
Austin Kubitza, RHP (Rice)  5 IP, 5 H, 5 R, 4 BB, 7 K Memphis
Trey Masek, RHP (Texas Tech)  No Game
Bobby Wahl, RHP (Ole Miss)  5.1 IP, 4 H, 3 R, 5 BB, 6 K Mississippi State
Nick Petree, RHP (Missouri State)  9 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 10 K Wright State
Ryan Eades, RHP (LSU)  6.1 IP, 8 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 1 K Texas A&M
Buck Farmer, RHP (Georgia Tech)  7 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 4 BB, 6 K North Carolina
Aaron Blair, RHP (Marshall)  6.2 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 5 BB, 5 K East Carolina

Second to Fifth Rounders (And Beyond):

Pitcher Line Opponent
Kevin Ziomek, LHP (Vanderbilt)  6 IP, 7 H, 2 R, 3 BB, 4 K Kentucky
Andrew Thurman, RHP (UC Irvine)  9 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 7 K Cal Poly
Sam Moll, LHP (Memphis)  7.2 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 3 BB, 7 K Rice
Tom Windle, LHP (Minnesota)  7.1 IP, 8 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 9 K Nebraska
Dillon Overton, LHP (Oklahoma)  4 IP, 8 H, 4 R, 1 BB, 3 K Oklahoma State
Trevor Williams, RHP (Arizona State)  7.2 IP, 6 H, 3 R, 3 BB, 5 K Cal
Jonathon Crawford, RHP (Florida)  4 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 3 BB, 3 K Auburn
Scott Frazier, RHP (Pepperdine)  6 IP, 2 H, 3 R, 6 BB, 8 K St. Marys
Nolan Belcher, LHP (South Carolina)  7.1 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 8 K Georgia
Matt Boyd, LHP (Oregon State)  6.1 IP, 8 H, 3 R, 1 BB, 4 K Stanford
Alex Gonzalez, RHP (Oral Roberts)  9 IP, 4 H,3 R, 2 BB, 11 K McNeese State
Ben Lively, RHP (UCF)  5 IP, 11 H, 7 R, 1 BB, 1 K Tulance
Andrew Pierce, RHP (Southern Miss.)  4 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 2 K SIU-E
Corey Littrell, LHP (Kentucky)  6.2 IP, 8 H, 8 R, 2 BB, 3 K Vanderbilt

New Look!

05/08/2013

For those who visit the site every so often, I’m sure you’ve noticed some changes (also, thanks for continuing to check in on the site). Over the next few weeks I’m hoping to get some bigger changes knocked out with the style of the site leading up to the draft.

If you have any suggestions with style or content, please let us know.

2013 MLB Draft: Hitters Leaderboard 5/7

05/08/2013

At this point, it doesn’t seem likely that anyone will be overtaking Kris Bryant as the best overall college bat. Between his ability to get on base and his plus plus raw power, no one else has close to the same skillset. Hunter Renfroe‘s walk rate has increased a ton compared to last year, and his power potential is right there with Bryant, but he has been less consistent. If you take his tools on the other side of the ball into play, that starts a different conversation however. One could argue Renfroe’s overall skillset is more valuable, even with some of the positive comps Bryant is getting with his outfield play.

Colin Moran is a fine consolation prize to either of the above bats, and he just continues to hit as spring moves forward. Power production remains a concern, though you have to be encouraged by his hit tool (and have to hope it allows him to stick at 3rd). UNC Wilmington’s Michael Bass has quietly hit a ton this year, with a great walk rate and lots of success on the bases. For what it’s worth, he has a higher wOBA (Park/Schedule adjusted) than New Mexico’s DJ Peterson. If he can stick at 2nd base, Bass could be a really interesting prospect in the minors.

Potential First Rounders:

Hitter Line (AVG/ OBP/ SLG) wOBA
Kris Bryant, RF (San Diego) .325/ .504/ .822 .560
Hunter Renfroe, OF (Mississippi State) .394/ .488/ .781 .554
Hunter Dozier, SS (Stephen F. Austin) .394/ .498/ .735 .545
Colin Moran, 3B (North Carolina) .389/ .504/ .644 .518
DJ Peterson, INF (New Mexico) .410/ .521/ .798 .498
Mason Katz, INF (LSU) .378/ .462/ .672 .496
Eric Jagielo, 3B (Notre Dame) .389/ .498/ .643 .488
Danny Collins, INF (Troy) .376/ .473 / .669 .487
Daniel Palka, 1B (Georgia Tech) .369/ .462/ .693 .486
Stuart Turner, C (Ole Miss) .391/ .454/ .580 .475
Phil Ervin, CF (Samford) .341/ .458/ .640 .467
Brandon Thomas, CF (Georgia Tech) .379/ .442/ .503 .453
Aaron Judge, CF (Fresno State) .357/ .447/ .607 .454
Austin Wilson, OF (Stanford) .315/ .412/ .562 .420

Second rounders and beyond follow the break Read More

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